PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

parfaitparfait

0x63b448724fc9b9e0ce84006cd4a960dedb0d7e30

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$218.0k
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6400.935$700.63+$220.63
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$569.28+$69.28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5700.715$501.75+$101.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.575$230.00+$70.00
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9010.961$202.83+$12.46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9130.978$146.63+$9.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.835$107.05+$7.05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0330.840$83.95+$80.65
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$32.50$87.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.0770.134$29.10+$12.32
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes0.2300.105$22.83$27.17
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.1800.208$21.89+$2.94
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.7700.485$11.53$6.77
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6000.997$8.74+$3.48
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.027$7.26$23.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:44Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$707.42
09-13 21:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$779.20
09-13 13:22Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.077$16.79
09-13 13:20Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$194.80
07-13 08:36Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.058$60.27
07-13 08:29Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.058$41.59
07-07 10:53Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8599999999$300.00
07-07 10:52US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999992$200.00
06-25 13:28Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4799999994$286.00
06-25 13:24Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?BUY0.0899999991$88.00
06-25 13:21Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.1609999994$200.00
06-25 00:12Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.4199999985$150.00
06-25 00:07Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5699999997$300.00
06-24 15:28Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
06-24 15:21Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.2899999986$120.00