parfaitparfait
0x63b448724fc9b9e0ce84006cd4a960dedb0d7e30
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $218.0k
- Markets traded
- 392
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded392
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.136US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$949.37at 0.002Will Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
- +$765.74at 0.583US government shutdown in 2025?
- +$647.68at 0.316Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
- +$434.47at 0.710Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:44 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $707.42 |
| 09-13 21:40 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $779.20 |
| 09-13 13:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.077 | $16.79 |
| 09-13 13:20 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $194.80 |
| 07-13 08:36 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.058 | $60.27 |
| 07-13 08:29 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.058 | $41.59 |
| 07-07 10:53 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 10:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 13:28 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4799999994 | $286.00 |
| 06-25 13:24 | Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $88.00 |
| 06-25 13:21 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1609999994 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 00:12 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $150.00 |
| 06-25 00:07 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.5699999997 | $300.00 |
| 06-24 15:28 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-24 15:21 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2899999986 | $120.00 |