PutsOnPeace
0x635d4ea180ca206cb2ae9c02bfbe93583b195025
- Realised P&L
- $13.0k
- Volume
- $3.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,864
- Open portfolio
- $24.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,864
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.716Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
- +$1.9kat 0.695Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
- +$1.6kat 0.733US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.875Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$1.2kat 0.006Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 19:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 09-04 19:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 09-04 19:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 08-20 07:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.759 | $47.24 |
| 08-19 19:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 08-19 19:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 08-19 08:26 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.965 | $193.00 |
| 08-19 08:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 08-15 20:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.67 |
| 08-15 20:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 08-15 20:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 08-14 23:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 08-14 23:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 08-14 23:46 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $182.59 |
| 08-14 23:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.00 |