PolyBot

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Traders

PutsOnPeace

0x635d4ea180ca206cb2ae9c02bfbe93583b195025

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$3.88M
Markets traded
1,864
Open portfolio
$24.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,864
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7870.835$5.0k+$287.65
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8640.905$1.9k+$87.70
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5920.565$903.99$42.57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7160.725$870.00+$10.38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7340.815$652.01+$64.93
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3670.325$616.74$80.18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · No0.9461.000$599.70+$31.90
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9760.997$597.90+$12.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5810.495$495.00$86.20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9480.995$398.00+$19.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8710.994$397.40+$49.10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8080.789$394.75$9.25
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No0.7600.905$362.00+$58.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9400.903$361.40$14.40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2530.154$347.21$220.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 19:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.91$182.00
09-04 19:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.979$48.95
09-04 19:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.996$298.80
08-20 07:00Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.759$47.24
08-19 19:31Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.89$178.00
08-19 19:18Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.39$78.00
08-19 08:26US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?BUY0.965$193.00
08-19 08:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
08-15 20:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.982$98.67
08-15 20:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.91$182.00
08-15 20:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.996$298.80
08-14 23:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6$120.00
08-14 23:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.81$162.00
08-14 23:46US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.995$182.59
08-14 23:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.96$192.00