PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zhang4515

0x6009ccc8cd43cad5f87e0584945d4fb9947dacf9

Realised P&L
$-33.14
Volume
$371.8k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8610.845$538.27−$10.37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8280.952$452.35+$58.76
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1330.165$344.91+$67.50
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.1800.295$286.74+$111.78
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3800.395$86.66+$3.29
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7070.681$79.05−$2.96
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.1160.115$57.49−$0.52
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4300.450$9.00+$0.40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.425$6.01+$0.50
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5300.550$3.30+$0.12
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3050.305$3.05+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7AM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00−$6.03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$35.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 23:01Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.119$1.07
10-01 03:07Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.854$8.55
10-01 03:03Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.8569911785$8.58
09-30 23:28Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.93$59.81
09-30 23:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.39$5.52
09-30 00:53Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.707$82.01
09-30 00:43Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.38$203.68
09-28 22:36Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.3$30.00
09-28 09:19Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.119$20.23
09-28 09:17Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.111231011$21.23
09-27 05:17Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.16$11.36
09-22 10:03Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.923$923.00
09-22 06:03Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.924$924.00
09-19 06:58Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.14$3.08
09-17 14:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.922$488.53