zhang4515
0x6009ccc8cd43cad5f87e0584945d4fb9947dacf9
- Realised P&L
- $-33.14
- Volume
- $371.8k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.110Bulls vs. Celtics
- +$969.13at 0.031Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$680.00at 0.320Bucks vs. Hornets
- +$630.00at 0.370Heat vs. Mavericks
- +$610.00at 0.390Warriors vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:01 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.119 | $1.07 |
| 10-01 03:07 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.854 | $8.55 |
| 10-01 03:03 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8569911785 | $8.58 |
| 09-30 23:28 | Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.93 | $59.81 |
| 09-30 23:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.52 |
| 09-30 00:53 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.707 | $82.01 |
| 09-30 00:43 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.38 | $203.68 |
| 09-28 22:36 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:19 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.119 | $20.23 |
| 09-28 09:17 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.111231011 | $21.23 |
| 09-27 05:17 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $11.36 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.923 | $923.00 |
| 09-22 06:03 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $924.00 |
| 09-19 06:58 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.08 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $488.53 |