PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Questionmark13

0x5fca2a49bc6cdd2eeaacd3750c5c5fcb60118c0c

Realised P&L
$-1.72
Volume
$328.91
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$11.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? · Yes0.0710.190$2.67+$1.67
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1830.185$1.01+$0.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1620.160$0.98$0.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4200.405$0.96$0.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1630.154$0.95$0.05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.155$0.91$0.09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.275$0.89$0.11
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2000.165$0.82$0.17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.0400.032$0.79$0.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Yes0.0380.014$0.37$0.63
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-17 07:33Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
09-17 07:32Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?BUY0.0709999952$1.00
09-16 23:54Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1829999958$1.00
09-16 23:53Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.161999987$1.00
09-16 23:47US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.04$1.00
09-16 23:47US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?BUY0.0047251833$1.00
09-16 23:45Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-16 23:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-16 23:43Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-16 23:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.0379999992$1.00
09-16 23:23Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1629999821$1.00
09-16 23:21Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4199998908$1.00