0x5f39d698C8B1f2efadB1042a3C6085E82ae3d603-1763288270743
0x5f39d698c8b1f2efadb1042a3c6085e82ae3d603
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $582.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,649
- Open portfolio
- $175.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,649
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.496Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5
- +$1.6kat 0.535Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.374Kings vs. Raptors
- +$1.3kat 0.460Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
- +$962.40at 0.617Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:14 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.867 | $13.82 |
| 09-16 05:14 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.38 |
| 09-16 05:14 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.73 |
| 09-16 05:14 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.88 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.928 | $10.21 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $13.98 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9543994761 | $14.57 |
| 09-16 04:46 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.993 | $10.65 |
| 07-10 15:10 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.919 | $15.45 |
| 07-10 15:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.179 | $16.18 |
| 07-10 15:09 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.946 | $22.90 |
| 07-10 15:08 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.405 | $16.74 |
| 07-05 14:47 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 06-29 13:02 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.13 |
| 06-07 14:02 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $27.53 |