PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5f39d698C8B1f2efadB1042a3C6085E82ae3d603-1763288270743

0x5f39d698c8b1f2efadb1042a3c6085e82ae3d603

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$583.2k
Markets traded
6,650
Open portfolio
$37.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,650
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4400.695$9.43+$3.46
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5200.715$6.87+$1.87
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2500.055$4.24−$15.02
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.3100.077$3.57−$10.72
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.024$2.86−$9.31
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0320.017$2.31−$2.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1610.122$2.21−$0.69
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8540.159$2.13−$9.37
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1720.004$1.26−$46.82
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.038$0.81−$4.10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2100.021$0.54−$4.71
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.6700.075$0.54−$4.25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2700.012$0.44−$9.48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6400.034$0.28−$5.15
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.002$0.07−$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:14Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.867$13.82
09-16 05:14US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.82$8.38
09-16 05:14Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.999$8.73
09-16 05:14Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.999$13.88
09-16 05:13Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.928$10.21
09-16 05:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.55$13.98
09-16 05:13Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9543994761$14.57
09-16 04:46Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.993$10.65
07-10 15:10Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.919$15.45
07-10 15:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.179$16.18
07-10 15:09Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.946$22.90
07-10 15:08Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.405$16.74
07-05 14:47Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.74$74.00
06-29 13:02Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$27.13
06-07 14:02Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.991$27.53