JoJojO-690
0x5f1b47779d496ff9f6bd72101a4e4729f0f9b988
- Realised P&L
- $-16.83
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $1.0k | −$0.51 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.841 | $84.05 | +$34.05 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.960 | $49.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.160 | $15.95 | −$34.05 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · No | 0.910 | 1.000 | $4.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $4.11 | +$1.11 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? · No | 0.810 | 1.000 | $3.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.98at 0.820Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.07at 0.710Will the match be a draw?
- +$2.00at 0.250Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev
- +$1.76at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$1.55at 0.675Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.0k |
| 09-18 09:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 09:40 | Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 10:45 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 10:45 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 10:45 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 07-18 10:45 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 03-29 16:09 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? | SELL | 0.998 | $429.14 |
| 03-29 16:09 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $446.26 |
| 03-29 16:09 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $1.99 |
| 03-29 16:09 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $2.00 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.9789999975 | $7.00 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.8183632568 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24? | BUY | 0.9879999993 | $6.00 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |