PolyBot

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Traders

s.p.q.r

0x5e3214dbac82e740c0563ef1f6b7e93b77343408

Realised P&L
$-30.5k
Volume
$554.5k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$17.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.255$3.9k+$730.52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8800.974$3.4k+$328.59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8800.935$2.5k+$145.20
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9610.996$2.4k+$83.56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7900.865$1.1k+$97.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2400.162$1.1k$541.65
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9100.974$584.10+$38.10
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.935$561.00+$57.00
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.8500.880$440.00+$15.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9200.950$399.00+$12.60
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2800.340$348.72+$61.54
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · No0.8600.950$322.45+$30.55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8100.961$118.58+$18.58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5500.475$113.70$17.95
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.925$99.46$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 13:25Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?BUY0.28$77.84
05-20 12:29Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.95$237.50
05-15 07:37Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.006$0.59
05-08 22:26Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.91$546.00
04-08 15:47Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.395$19.75
04-08 15:45Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.676$811.20
04-07 22:43Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.15$20.10
04-04 22:16Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.45$2.3k
03-24 11:34Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.37$538.35
03-20 12:57Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.006$7.44
03-18 16:07Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.84$635.80
03-14 15:00Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?BUY0.87$236.64
03-13 22:31US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.65$65.00
03-13 20:32Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.009$0.27
03-10 20:16Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.84$2.1k