s.p.q.r
0x5e3214dbac82e740c0563ef1f6b7e93b77343408
- Realised P&L
- $-30.5k
- Volume
- $554.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $17.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.907US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.926US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.784Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$700.00at 0.930US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$650.70at 0.910Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 13:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | BUY | 0.28 | $77.84 |
| 05-20 12:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $237.50 |
| 05-15 07:37 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.59 |
| 05-08 22:26 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $546.00 |
| 04-08 15:47 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.395 | $19.75 |
| 04-08 15:45 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | BUY | 0.676 | $811.20 |
| 04-07 22:43 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $20.10 |
| 04-04 22:16 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.3k |
| 03-24 11:34 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.37 | $538.35 |
| 03-20 12:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $7.44 |
| 03-18 16:07 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $635.80 |
| 03-14 15:00 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $236.64 |
| 03-13 22:31 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 03-13 20:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 03-10 20:16 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.1k |