0x5deaaac25aeb7a9a4a8e2555d249d128410af3a6
0x5deaaac25aeb7a9a4a8e2555d249d128410af3a6
- Realised P&L
- $4.65
- Volume
- $715.77
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.651 | $2.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.978 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.415 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.675 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.675 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.57at 0.235Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5
- +$10.98at 0.306Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
- +$8.76at 0.306Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
- +$7.89at 0.327South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
- +$6.98at 0.357Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:16 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:52 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7159998196 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 12:07 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:31 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:18 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:11 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |