Kwon123
0x5da1c3de95a253c0c8b09be54636150007a654a3
- Realised P&L
- $153.58
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.22at 0.696NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.29at 0.973Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$8.94at 0.850Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
- +$-5.58at 0.200NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:06 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $462.21 |
| 10-01 00:55 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $106.02 |
| 09-30 11:24 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.5k |
| 09-30 11:03 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $220.59 |
| 09-30 11:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9768496617 | $194.93 |
| 09-30 11:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $29.28 |
| 09-30 11:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 09-30 11:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $82.08 |
| 09-29 18:24 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $61.85 |
| 09-29 18:17 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $181.04 |
| 09-29 18:15 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $783.27 |
| 09-27 08:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 09-27 06:48 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $770.47 |
| 09-26 16:37 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-26 10:40 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $427.50 |