0x5d52f2D50E98B8Fa3e871280B2Aba1f0B0d87AE0-1774829323691
0x5d52f2d50e98b8fa3e871280b2aba1f0b0d87ae0
- Realised P&L
- $606.74
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $70.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.115 | $67.53 | −$32.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $1.17 | −$5.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.003 | $1.07 | −$98.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.35 | −$6.65 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.001 | $0.27 | −$6.73 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.001 | $0.19 | −$99.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$361.60at 0.275Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$145.20at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$67.56at 0.601Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$60.78at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$22.10at 0.824Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $7.00 |
| 10-07 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0099110069 | $7.00 |
| 10-07 22:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0128394035 | $7.00 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1702931217 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2336960491 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.05 |
| 09-30 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2653564618 | $132.56 |
| 09-30 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $142.78 |
| 09-25 09:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $149.58 |
| 09-25 07:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.8099900586 | $317.76 |
| 09-25 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $43.40 |
| 09-24 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0051335158 | $26.00 |
| 09-24 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1612901037 | $70.00 |
| 09-23 17:09 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999998 | $164.77 |