PolyBot

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Traders

mmtrading

0x5a0cd7fdc2b40b667a65c3f85febffd1d4329db8

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$2.83M
Markets traded
10,827
Open portfolio
$834.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,827
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3300.720$21.18+$11.47
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026? · No0.1920.345$17.25+$7.65
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3100.545$17.03+$7.34
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship? · No0.6030.775$16.10+$3.56
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.265$14.72+$5.28
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.7491.000$13.32+$3.34
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3920.515$12.88+$3.08
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.4000.510$12.44+$2.68
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3010.380$12.26+$2.56
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.6400.780$12.00+$2.15
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1400.165$11.79+$1.81
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3700.445$11.71+$1.97
Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.8100.945$11.53+$1.65
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.805$11.50+$1.50
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7800.905$11.46+$1.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:49Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?BUY0.81$4.25
10-31 22:15Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.541$11.92
10-31 07:51Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$4.23
10-31 05:10Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1396780064$9.98
10-31 00:31Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?BUY0.094$0.88
10-31 00:31Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.3446400288$9.57
10-31 00:31Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?BUY0.42$9.77
10-30 23:47Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?BUY0.86$9.88
10-30 22:54Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.72$16.37
10-30 21:23Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.06$0.71
10-30 21:23Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.0794736842$7.55
10-30 14:14Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?BUY0.358$9.68
10-30 07:02Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?SELL0.86$4.30
10-30 00:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.472$6.94
10-30 00:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.555$9.73