PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

forcaster1

0x59f404e526154ce91e5f2dc9e7d897c901a2418c

Realised P&L
$-302.48
Volume
$19.1k
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$21.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3580.165$4.61$5.39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1500.186$2.48+$0.48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.041$2.38$7.62
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.1060.029$1.92$5.08
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0410.015$1.77$3.23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$1.58$3.42
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2290.040$1.21$5.79
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.4450.101$1.13$3.87
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.015$1.04$3.96
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.1000.018$0.88$4.13
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$0.69$1.31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0860.028$0.64$1.36
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3300.095$0.58$1.42
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.018$0.45$1.55
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0600.009$0.28$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 08:28Iran closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.999$10.04
05-29 08:41Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.1989999254$2.00
05-29 08:41Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.0659999698$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?BUY0.0169999918$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?BUY0.0236453203$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY0.022999989$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?BUY0.0380302113$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-12 08:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?BUY0.025$5.00
05-12 08:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-12 08:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?BUY0.119999952$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?BUY0.0240000004$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0859999642$2.00
05-12 08:46Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May?BUY0.08$2.00