forcaster1
0x59f404e526154ce91e5f2dc9e7d897c901a2418c
- Realised P&L
- $-302.48
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $21.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.46at 0.028Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$62.96at 0.033Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$39.41at 0.046Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$37.56at 0.101Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?
- +$31.32at 0.110Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 08:28 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.04 |
| 05-29 08:41 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.1989999254 | $2.00 |
| 05-29 08:41 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.0659999698 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0169999918 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0236453203 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | BUY | 0.022999989 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0380302113 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 08:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:47 | Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:47 | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:47 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0859999642 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 08:46 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |