PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

forcaster1

0x59f404e526154ce91e5f2dc9e7d897c901a2418c

Realised P&L
$-255.24
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$21.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1500.436$5.82+$3.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3580.175$4.89−$5.11
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0410.017$2.01−$2.99
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.1060.019$1.26−$5.74
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.019$1.15−$8.85
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.1000.019$0.97−$4.03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.015$0.86−$4.14
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.4450.075$0.84−$4.16
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.011$0.82−$4.18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2290.025$0.78−$6.22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0860.021$0.48−$1.52
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$0.43−$1.57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.017$0.42−$1.57
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3300.055$0.33−$1.67
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0600.004$0.12−$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 08:28Iran closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.999$10.04
05-29 08:41Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.1989999254$2.00
05-29 08:41Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.0659999698$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?BUY0.0169999918$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?BUY0.0236453203$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY0.022999989$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?BUY0.0380302113$2.00
05-12 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-12 08:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?BUY0.025$5.00
05-12 08:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
05-12 08:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?BUY0.119999952$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?BUY0.0240000004$2.00
05-12 08:47Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0859999642$2.00
05-12 08:46Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May?BUY0.08$2.00