PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Jerzy

0x59432fa8141b0ddf25f64c9fc90cdb5672402ef2

Realised P&L
$50.2k
Volume
$2.97M
Markets traded
340
Open portfolio
$40.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded340
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9210.978$16.9k+$988.57
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.975$7.3k+$338.72
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8880.935$6.1k+$302.52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9070.915$5.5k+$50.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.4000.795$1.2k+$586.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.885$885.00+$95.00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.7430.885$712.81+$114.25
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · Yes0.2880.070$609.81$1.9k
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.2670.085$416.80$893.38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.840$354.48+$236.21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · No0.7940.855$333.38+$23.63
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? · No0.8500.985$218.47+$29.85
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.1810.330$164.97+$74.57
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.185$0.58$0.42
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3400.175$0.51$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 21:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.965$212.30
07-15 21:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.965$140.89
07-15 21:46Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9017303265$220.92
07-15 21:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.79$1.3k
07-15 21:30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9130933963$4.0k
07-15 13:42Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9448106678$6.0k
07-14 16:58Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.78$468.00
07-13 19:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.968$968.00
07-12 12:34Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.974$1.9k
07-11 19:14Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.91$455.00
07-08 14:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.967736644$2.0k
07-07 11:48Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.91$90.70
07-05 19:02Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.89$445.00
07-02 10:05Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9299999999$7.0k
06-23 21:11EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?SELL0.0041063687$2.82
Trader Jerzy · PolyBot