Jerzy
0x59432fa8141b0ddf25f64c9fc90cdb5672402ef2
- Realised P&L
- $50.2k
- Volume
- $2.97M
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $40.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.148Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$7.2kat 0.459Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$6.5kat 0.352US-China trade deal before June?
- +$5.5kat 0.506Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$5.1kat 0.337US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 21:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.965 | $212.30 |
| 07-15 21:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.965 | $140.89 |
| 07-15 21:46 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9017303265 | $220.92 |
| 07-15 21:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.3k |
| 07-15 21:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9130933963 | $4.0k |
| 07-15 13:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9448106678 | $6.0k |
| 07-14 16:58 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $468.00 |
| 07-13 19:21 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.968 | $968.00 |
| 07-12 12:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.9k |
| 07-11 19:14 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 07-08 14:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.967736644 | $2.0k |
| 07-07 11:48 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $90.70 |
| 07-05 19:02 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 07-02 10:05 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $7.0k |
| 06-23 21:11 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | SELL | 0.0041063687 | $2.82 |