PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x589fe24a79925370cae231a18a7e474632e34046

Realised P&L
$-39.38
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$1.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.039$0.92$3.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0900.005$0.61$9.39
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0540.009$0.16$0.84
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0600.007$0.12$0.88
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4640.000$0.00$2.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.00
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$1.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$14.00
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$14.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 09:13Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$3.00
06-05 09:12Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.08$0.40
06-05 09:12Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?SELL0.021$0.57
06-05 09:12Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$1.73
06-05 08:19Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4639999647$2.00
06-05 08:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.159$2.80
06-02 19:13Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?BUY0.0309999705$1.00
06-02 19:13Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
06-02 19:13Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-02 19:11Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$6.00
06-02 19:10Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.357$10.04
05-29 21:34Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.32$9.00
05-29 21:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.139$9.79
05-28 21:54Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$6.00
05-28 21:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999609$3.00