NEOBTC
0x5811557129f682d7a09a487a3e36564469438d47
- Realised P&L
- $-154.02
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $289.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.545 | $152.60 | +$28.60 |
| CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.741 | 0.720 | $75.42 | −$2.21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.725 | $28.38 | −$0.20 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.780 | 0.675 | $13.50 | −$2.10 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.415 | $8.30 | +$2.10 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.528 | 0.365 | $6.88 | −$3.08 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.201 | $3.98 | −$0.39 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.305 | $0.33 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.53at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$44.47at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$-0.45at 0.232US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
- +$-1.60at 0.410Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- +$-1.82at 0.380Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5506932826 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 01:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 22:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |