largeleeks888
0x57dedd62596dd4f85c7ebe5317e07d22795ecd90
- Realised P&L
- $-36.2k
- Volume
- $24.22M
- Markets traded
- 7,455
- Open portfolio
- $14.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.962 | $12.6k | −$0.62 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.814 | $1.4k | −$89.56 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $335.82 | +$0.46 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $26.85 | −$0.04 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.85 |
| Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC? · No | 0.995 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.51 |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.4kat 0.500Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$16.1kat 0.759Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
- +$14.2kat 0.762Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?
- +$13.1kat 0.783Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?
- +$11.5kat 0.754Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:27 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-02 01:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $211.41 |
| 09-01 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.95 |
| 09-01 08:22 | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.95 |
| 08-31 04:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.875 | $24.50 |
| 08-27 09:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.2k |
| 08-26 01:28 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9756666667 | $292.70 |
| 08-25 03:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.986 | $209.03 |
| 08-25 02:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.986 | $584.55 |
| 08-24 00:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.2k |
| 08-23 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.82 |
| 08-23 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $358.61 |
| 08-21 07:07 | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-20 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $237.73 |
| 08-20 03:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $455.54 |