PolyBot

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Traders

largeleeks888

0x57dedd62596dd4f85c7ebe5317e07d22795ecd90

Realised P&L
$-36.2k
Volume
$24.22M
Markets traded
7,455
Open portfolio
$14.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,455
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9620.962$12.6k$0.62
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8670.814$1.4k$89.56
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9950.997$335.82+$0.46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9960.995$26.85$0.04
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$21.85
Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC? · No0.9950.000$0.00$5.51
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 09:27LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.998$4.99
09-02 01:21Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.996$211.41
09-01 08:29Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 1?BUY0.999$9.95
09-01 08:22Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on September 1?BUY0.999$22.95
08-31 04:22Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.875$24.50
08-27 09:30Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.994$1.2k
08-26 01:28Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9756666667$292.70
08-25 03:45Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.986$209.03
08-25 02:20Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.986$584.55
08-24 00:47Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.981$1.2k
08-23 03:13Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 24?BUY0.999$0.82
08-23 03:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on August 24?BUY0.999$358.61
08-21 07:07Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on August 21?BUY0.999$14.98
08-20 23:22Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 22?BUY0.999$237.73
08-20 03:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 21?BUY0.999$455.54