Rg1411
0x573613980765b251f41d9c8a2a02276302a34f43
- Realised P&L
- $-452.75
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $506.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$296.25at 0.259Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$284.52at 0.513US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$258.99at 0.542Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$150.82at 0.610Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$144.83at 0.580US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:28 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2095343678 | $90.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.3136406227 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-22 05:35 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-21 04:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6879361907 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 04:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999942 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 04:46 | Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 05:44 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 12:55 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6038402246 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 12:55 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.2501876407 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 18:50 | Will Trump say "Middle East" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.5973045176 | $200.00 |
| 07-16 18:48 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4181886171 | $300.00 |
| 05-17 07:35 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $400.00 |
| 05-08 11:27 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $300.00 |
| 04-02 12:29 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.5514566228 | $210.00 |