Alta-trola
0x56e3de5d4e06fea0c19f4029cdbda6959bbc521c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $66.3k
- Markets traded
- 773
- Open portfolio
- $805.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded773
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.60at 0.632Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$70.98at 0.606Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
- +$61.65at 0.899Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$60.05at 0.881Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$59.39at 0.959U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 19:31 | Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-16 18:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.946 | $18.92 |
| 10-06 19:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-25 15:15 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 08-23 13:48 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-23 13:47 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 06-15 21:04 | Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 06-15 21:00 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-15 21:00 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 06-12 20:30 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5399999872 | $11.00 |
| 06-12 07:43 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 06-12 07:40 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |