PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x56c0365435a84b1693683e69b2517680a0beff34

Realised P&L
$-153.32
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$106.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1420.125$33.42$4.59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0150.011$28.43$12.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.0410.022$24.15$19.85
Theo James announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0400.024$12.00$8.00
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2190.234$8.55+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:17Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.1421675089$38.01
09-16 19:12Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0227180127$20.00
09-16 19:05No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2189999962$8.00
09-16 19:03Theo James announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0400156394$20.00
09-16 05:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0165331092$11.54
09-16 05:54Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.209$11.51
09-15 18:53Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2178184811$12.00
09-15 18:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.041$44.00
09-15 18:48Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0079665934$9.00
07-29 21:14Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.1$15.59
07-27 11:52Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0979454733$15.27
07-27 11:50Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.1045467722$56.65
07-27 11:49Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?BUY0.1477507165$20.00
07-27 11:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$3.99
07-27 11:41Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.5072196556$32.50