PolyBot

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Traders

0x54caba58365461dcb77dad9564ad52fbcc0f0729

0x54caba58365461dcb77dad9564ad52fbcc0f0729

Realised P&L
$59.54
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$89.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.165$26.61−$23.39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0900.034$18.89−$31.10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1560.145$11.48−$0.87
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5400.555$10.28+$0.28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1970.155$9.72−$2.63
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6600.705$6.32+$0.40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.135$3.76−$0.70
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0600.051$2.49−$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 01:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.539999986$10.00
10-29 01:21Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.2431906214$6.38
10-28 02:402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6599999978$5.92
10-28 02:37Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2419999859$3.95
10-28 02:36Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.51$8.91
10-28 02:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.233999998$2.32
10-28 02:24Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.53$9.26
09-17 02:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999657$3.21
09-15 07:13Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
09-09 01:52Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$4.46
09-04 04:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
09-03 01:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$9.97
08-03 22:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.87$8.69
08-03 09:01Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.0599999814$2.96
07-27 05:15Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999857$11.88