Daniel-202
0x54b29a4673c1a7b0d0c22f00c0005924fdc5c0fd
- Realised P&L
- $14.43
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $92.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.00at 0.100Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$8.61at 0.130Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$8.00at 0.240Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$6.70at 0.230Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.130Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999973 | $13.90 |
| 10-02 13:33 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $13.54 |
| 10-01 16:02 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $11.00 |
| 10-01 16:01 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 16:00 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:59 | Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31? | BUY | 0.0545454545 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 15:58 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0369999998 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 07:38 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 07:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 10:58 | Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 10:58 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-21 10:55 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0419999944 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 18:24 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.27 | $16.61 |
| 08-01 13:22 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 10:11 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | BUY | 0.1389999422 | $2.00 |