PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TrumpWon1776

0x542d481809e8be290e74130810bfd05e5176ad51

Realised P&L
$-4.00
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$18.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1740.129$2.22−$0.78
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.0840.026$1.86−$4.14
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0290.044$1.53+$0.53
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.005$1.50−$1.50
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1580.077$1.46−$1.54
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.017$1.27+$0.27
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.025$1.23+$0.23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0280.024$0.86−$0.14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.013$0.83−$0.17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.036$0.73−$1.27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$0.60−$1.40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2570.146$0.57−$0.43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.021$0.57−$0.43
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0410.022$0.54−$0.46
Will Alberta join the US? · Yes0.0210.011$0.50−$0.50

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 02:51Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-06 02:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0359999663$1.00
07-06 01:54Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
07-06 01:47Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?BUY0.148999882$1.00
07-06 01:36SBF released from custody in 2026?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-06 01:31Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.02$1.00
07-06 01:31Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.2569998476$1.00
07-06 01:25Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-06 01:23Will Alberta join the US? BUY0.0209999797$1.00
07-06 01:21 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.023999977$1.00
07-06 01:19Russia coup attempt in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-06 01:17Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-06 01:16Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?BUY0.008358688$1.00
07-06 01:14Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-06 01:12Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.089999919$1.00