Blind Chicken
0x542aae10712e812bd71d792861ec5a570aa8a81b
- Realised P&L
- $-23.7k
- Volume
- $22.42M
- Markets traded
- 874
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded874
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.6kat 0.938Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$11.0kat 0.020Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
- +$7.9kat 0.049Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$6.5kat 0.079Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$5.9kat 0.419Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:13 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0206542767 | $309.81 |
| 08-21 15:13 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.018 | $62.91 |
| 08-21 15:12 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $69.33 |
| 08-15 01:55 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.021 | $21.00 |
| 08-15 01:52 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $299.61 |
| 08-15 01:30 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 08-14 13:44 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.02 | $192.65 |
| 08-14 13:42 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0181770221 | $190.03 |
| 08-10 21:01 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.008864136 | $22.16 |
| 08-06 00:18 | Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.33 |
| 08-04 20:08 | Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.03229988 | $1.62 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.0238779905 | $28.97 |
| 08-04 18:14 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.047 | $47.00 |
| 08-04 18:14 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.08776777 | $87.77 |
| 08-03 19:20 | Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.25 |