0x542484ca5391619077E1aFc49308429F72ebb232-1772137447433
0x542484ca5391619077e1afc49308429f72ebb232
- Realised P&L
- $75.27
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $83.94
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.77at 0.180Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$33.90at 0.300US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$25.25at 0.355US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$16.13at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$8.42at 0.377Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 19:50 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 15:53 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.15699994 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 15:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 09-02 17:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999717 | $7.00 |
| 09-02 15:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1459999391 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 07:46 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-16 16:31 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 08:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 20:46 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.47 |
| 07-30 17:22 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 07:17 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 16:17 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 07-28 16:15 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 08:07 | Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 07:55 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.358 | $4.96 |