PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x542484ca5391619077E1aFc49308429F72ebb232-1772137447433

0x542484ca5391619077e1afc49308429f72ebb232

Realised P&L
$75.27
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$83.94

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 19:50Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-06 15:53Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.15699994$2.00
09-06 15:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
09-02 17:30Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999717$7.00
09-02 15:15Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1459999391$2.00
08-28 07:46Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$0.02
08-16 16:31Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
08-15 08:24Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999986$8.00
08-02 20:46Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?SELL0.17$4.47
07-30 17:22Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-29 07:17Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
07-28 16:17Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-28 16:15Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
07-25 08:07Will Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-25 07:55Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.358$4.96