0x542120De39859E9931DaaFf30967Fd37E7E5449C-1755878695722
0x542120de39859e9931daaff30967fd37e7e5449c
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $761.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$958.41at 0.329Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$441.93at 0.340Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?
- +$189.89at 0.626Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$132.34at 0.751Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$127.11at 0.643Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 09-15 18:34 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-13 20:14 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 20:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-13 19:30 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.1424962556 | $5.71 |
| 09-13 19:28 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.58 |
| 09-13 19:28 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.503725 | $50.37 |
| 09-13 19:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 18:56 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 09-09 13:38 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8 | $79.74 |
| 09-09 13:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-06 18:32 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.051216 | $2.56 |
| 09-06 18:30 | Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.5033 | $50.33 |
| 09-06 17:28 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |