0x542120De39859E9931DaaFf30967Fd37E7E5449C-1755878695722
0x542120de39859e9931daaff30967fd37e7e5449c
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$958.41at 0.329Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$441.93at 0.340Will Ciucu win by at least 12%?
- +$219.04at 0.682Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
- +$189.89at 0.626Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$132.34at 0.751Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:31 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.8437181818 | $111.37 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.16 |
| 10-25 23:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.1906920415 | $55.11 |
| 10-25 23:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.8069 | $80.69 |
| 10-25 23:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.7940767929 | $51.60 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.7255714286 | $50.79 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.05884 | $5.88 |
| 10-25 23:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.64235 | $64.23 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.601 | $24.04 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.0716959 | $7.17 |
| 10-25 23:14 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.599 | $29.95 |
| 10-25 23:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.647589659 | $64.75 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.068 | $8.16 |
| 10-25 23:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.5676666667 | $17.03 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.563 | $28.15 |