PolyBot

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Traders

Lucifergotlucky

0x53d5ba04d1ddaa7c9eb14d6e4b3896b15acbd88c

Realised P&L
$-234.86
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
595
Open portfolio
$26.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded595
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 10:24Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.16
09-06 10:24Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.025$0.07
09-06 10:24Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.021$0.06
09-06 10:24Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.03
09-06 10:24China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$2.42
09-06 10:24Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.49$1.29
09-06 10:24Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.3$0.88
09-06 10:24Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.16$0.49
09-06 10:24Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?SELL0.016$0.05
09-06 10:24Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?SELL0.05$0.22
09-06 10:24Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?SELL0.06$0.35
09-06 10:24Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?SELL0.03$0.39
09-04 03:04U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.079$0.20
09-04 03:04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.029$0.08
09-04 03:04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.22$0.58