PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiaojiren

0x537263fdfc15e4e967e63c0c783f22f549e74b1f

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$534.0k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$12.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8830.905$2.8k+$67.30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8880.935$2.6k+$131.90
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? · No0.8930.960$2.5k+$172.64
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? · No0.8300.895$1.4k+$101.01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5510.765$1.3k+$360.65
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · No0.8870.935$561.00+$29.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7550.885$544.13+$79.68
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4790.805$403.31+$163.31
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8230.952$269.48+$36.40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6330.446$178.20−$75.13
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No0.7790.855$148.91+$13.16
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$264.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.7120.000$0.00−$142.29
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026? · No0.6520.000$0.00−$695.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 01:06Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.89$623.01
10-10 01:41Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.779$135.76
10-08 11:00Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.87$172.45
10-04 15:52Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$1.0k
10-02 13:53Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$80.00
10-02 08:14Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.9$90.19
10-01 16:19NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$890.00
10-01 16:18NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$1.8k
10-01 06:41Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.75$831.64
10-01 06:39Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.82$1.0k
10-01 06:27Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9$1.6k
10-01 05:10Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.7$218.40
09-30 06:35Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$270.00
09-30 01:36Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.908$648.62
09-28 23:41Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8889332793$100.00