PolyBot

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Traders

RedWaffle5

0x5311e29f298fc0a3e128f76a9c49ecb713ff61ee

Realised P&L
$-180.43
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$93.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.055$49.05$68.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5220.165$17.38$37.62
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.0950.053$14.06$10.94
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.046$10.16$12.84
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$2.75$5.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.4520.000$0.00$6.20
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Up0.6590.000$0.00$0.82
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00$2.71
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.2950.000$0.00$4.91
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.5260.000$0.00$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.3370.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.5170.000$0.00$1.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.5480.000$0.00$1.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.4170.000$0.00$9.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 11:10Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
05-04 13:40Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999804$4.00
05-04 13:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.001$1.67
05-04 13:38Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.4$6.66
05-04 13:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.001$4.40
05-04 13:36US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.73$4.34
05-04 13:34Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999873$6.16
04-21 04:56Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?SELL0.02$0.27
04-09 01:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
04-03 03:06Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.119999915$1.13
04-03 02:28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5699999987$40.00
04-03 02:26Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?BUY0.0938271523$10.00
04-03 02:26Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?SELL0.0437099504$44.72
04-02 00:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5$10.00
04-01 21:53Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?BUY0.096046065$15.00