tommychien
0x52fa21e846d5da4df0f57f36b7415f23dec08692
- Realised P&L
- $9.39
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.79at 0.190Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$67.11at 0.613Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$33.93at 0.600Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$27.30at 0.597Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$21.81at 0.487Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 13:38 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:35 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8820701857 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:23 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:21 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:21 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:20 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:19 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 08:19 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 06:23 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 06:22 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 06:22 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 03:04 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 02:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.8739999692 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 14:05 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.996 | $26.99 |