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Traders

tommychien

0x52fa21e846d5da4df0f57f36b7415f23dec08692

Realised P&L
$9.39
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7510.915$123.06+$22.06
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.5270.569$70.10+$5.10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.875$55.38+$5.38
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? · No0.8680.981$45.18+$5.18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7700.945$36.82+$6.82
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · No0.2200.345$31.36+$11.36
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.700$28.77−$1.23
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.915$27.31+$7.31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7000.820$24.60+$3.60
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.8200.997$24.32+$4.32
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7900.939$23.76+$3.76
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.7560.895$23.68+$3.68
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.7000.820$23.43+$3.43
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? · No0.6640.753$22.68+$2.68
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.8740.972$22.24+$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 13:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
10-20 13:38Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
10-20 08:35France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8820701857$20.00
10-20 08:23Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
10-20 08:21US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.669999995$20.00
10-20 08:21Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.669999995$20.00
10-20 08:20Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.7399999734$20.00
10-20 08:19Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
10-20 08:19Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.75$20.00
10-20 06:23Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.7599999848$20.00
10-20 06:22Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.8599999983$20.00
10-20 06:22US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
10-20 03:04Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-20 02:17US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.8739999692$20.00
10-19 14:05Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.996$26.99