0x52177c82768be0178896fde8544e81d2ed0e8201
0x52177c82768be0178896fde8544e81d2ed0e8201
- Realised P&L
- $196.84
- Volume
- $62.3k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $68.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.60at 0.516US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$138.84at 0.206Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$52.79at 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.22at 0.625 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$22.93at 0.083Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:43 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6499999751 | $5.22 |
| 09-25 00:37 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.729999979 | $4.52 |
| 09-25 00:33 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7521460227 | $5.94 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.09 |
| 09-18 00:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:14 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:38 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999473 | $2.46 |
| 09-07 00:50 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 00:40 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0969999157 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 00:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.709999942 | $2.94 |
| 08-19 00:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.01 |
| 08-15 00:09 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 00:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 00:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |