23jj
0x513fea8dbad441d72d590b96d5c5c57ed74a3180
- Realised P&L
- $-14.21
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $35.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.02at 0.022Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.88at 0.624Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 6?
- +$0.93at 0.900Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.518Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:02 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 08:01 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:01 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 09-30 08:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.37 | $0.73 |
| 08-29 08:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 08-29 08:16 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549998176 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 08:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |