PolyBot

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Traders

0x50aaead71afa32f6d214882347c0381bab888988

0x50aaead71afa32f6d214882347c0381bab888988

Realised P&L
$-48.96
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$9.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.9760.985$3.03+$0.03
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.0390.041$1.05+$0.05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9690.960$0.99−$0.01
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0360.035$0.99−$0.01
Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.0310.026$0.84−$0.16
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.030$0.64−$0.36
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0370.015$0.42−$0.58
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · Yes0.0340.013$0.37−$0.63
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0380.013$0.33−$0.67
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0300.009$0.32−$0.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.032$0.32−$0.69
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat? · Yes0.0470.014$0.30−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 17:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9689997597$1.00
08-20 09:56Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?BUY0.92$1.00
08-20 09:56Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-12 11:34Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?BUY0.9879999974$3.00
08-12 11:33Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? BUY0.976$3.00
06-28 05:32Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir KecmanovicBUY0.0379999641$1.00
06-28 05:32Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
06-28 05:32World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoBUY0.0389999635$1.00
06-28 05:32Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?BUY0.0460210886$1.00
06-28 05:32Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0336300694$1.00
06-28 05:32Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.32$2.92
06-27 06:56Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.5299998781$1.00
06-27 00:21Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0469999569$1.00
06-27 00:21Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?BUY0.0423728814$1.00
06-27 00:21Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0629999444$1.00