PolyBot

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Traders

Sunshine963

0x501867c49ae9b5ad93dc0109a0b473db1ae4398b

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$100.9k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 18:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.154$30.80
09-24 18:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.154$30.80
06-05 10:47Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?BUY0.237$23.70
06-04 22:15Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$43.20
06-04 19:22Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.84$84.00
05-28 12:39Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?BUY0.51$15.30
05-24 11:33Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?BUY0.91$65.59
05-16 18:51Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.719$21.57
05-11 22:45Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$21.54
05-11 22:30Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?BUY0.95$28.50
05-11 22:14Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?BUY0.15$12.00
05-11 22:05Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?BUY0.87$29.58
05-11 13:07Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?BUY0.93$30.69
05-11 13:04Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?BUY0.57$24.94
05-11 12:48Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?BUY0.88$30.80