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Traders

0x4e639df51d4893a3992a4b3309717b90882b6794

0x4e639df51d4893a3992a4b3309717b90882b6794

Realised P&L
$-5.98
Volume
$202.81
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$3.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7100.735$1.04+$0.04
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3400.330$0.97−$0.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7300.702$0.96−$0.04
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3700.250$0.68−$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:32Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-05 12:32Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-04 01:56Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-03 13:56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-03 05:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-02 06:35Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-02 06:28Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?BUY0.7789998567$1.00
10-01 18:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-01 10:58Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-27 14:49Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-27 06:22Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 22:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.74$1.00
09-26 13:52Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
09-26 05:52Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-24 19:42Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
Trader 0x4e639df51d4893a3992a4b3309717b90882b6794 · PolyBot Pro