bigboystan
0x4ddfdd4ed0654d7c9dd4cb1804fcbefc101d80af
- Realised P&L
- $-2.12
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $50.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.012 | $43.61 | +$13.61 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.428 | $2.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.275 | $1.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs · fnatic | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:45 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:44 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4609999781 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 16:43 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:41 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:41 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4589998394 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:25 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0080630133 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 07:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0080448581 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 15:10 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:55 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0086895233 | $10.00 |