Alfabaguera
0x4d0f7b8e761c9ea071fb3804697947277f8768e1
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $400.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,790
- Open portfolio
- $767.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,790
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.235Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$245.26at 0.553Manacor: Luca Potenza vs Inaki Montes
- +$214.50at 0.588Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$201.14at 0.330LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- +$179.11at 0.512La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5160275003 | $12.99 |
| 10-05 22:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5327669989 | $27.99 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $12.99 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.519923935 | $12.99 |
| 10-05 16:05 | XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999811 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 16:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5289576085 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 16:00 | XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999871 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999811 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 15:35 | XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 15:30 | XRP Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999811 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 15:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999811 | $12.94 |
| 10-05 14:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $13.01 |