PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ajuma

0x4bd5bdca24e7fb0202cd8e97a89dd2f26296e0d5

Realised P&L
$-13.02
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$10.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9690.989$2.04+$0.04
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.7600.983$1.29+$0.29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.825$1.09+$0.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.8400.845$1.01+$0.01
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.3600.355$0.99−$0.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? · Yes0.5500.535$0.97−$0.03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.7600.520$0.68−$0.32
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0750.047$0.63−$0.37
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.043$0.54−$0.46
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1340.033$0.48−$1.52
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · No0.4400.155$0.35−$0.65
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · Yes0.4200.110$0.26−$0.74
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$0.16−$0.84
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.2400.026$0.11−$0.89
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · Yes0.1300.014$0.11−$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 01:50Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
11-01 01:23Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?BUY0.549999945$1.00
11-01 01:22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
11-01 01:22Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.77$1.00
11-01 01:21Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4$1.00
11-01 01:21Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.8399994288$1.00
08-30 15:26Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?SELL0.84$1.55
07-30 09:07Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
07-30 09:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1079999067$1.00
07-29 18:43Will Meta say "Metaverse" during earnings call?BUY0.95$1.00
07-29 18:43Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
07-29 18:42Will the earnings call not air?BUY0.2739998038$1.00
07-20 12:51Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.993$1.39
07-17 06:42Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2729998509$1.00
07-17 06:41Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4189999049$1.00