ajuma
0x4bd5bdca24e7fb0202cd8e97a89dd2f26296e0d5
- Realised P&L
- $-13.02
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $10.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$2.12at 0.230Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.69at 0.210Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.387Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.48at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:50 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:23 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:22 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 15:26 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.55 |
| 07-30 09:07 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 09:06 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1079999067 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:43 | Will Meta say "Metaverse" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:43 | Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:42 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.2739998038 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 12:51 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.39 |
| 07-17 06:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2729998509 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 06:41 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999049 | $1.00 |