PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TamerGG

0x4bc86f65aa7bd5a375b756e3054d3b1a913d86e7

Realised P&L
$-211.28
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
580
Open portfolio
$86.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded580
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6420.716$13.94+$1.44
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6660.718$13.45+$0.96
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao Huang · Coleman Wong0.8600.850$10.28−$0.12
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3240.276$10.11−$1.76
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.690$9.81−$0.14
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.805$9.80−$0.18
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3260.264$8.99−$2.13
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.8500.905$4.19+$0.25
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.720$3.26−$0.23
Flames vs. Sharks · Flames0.4600.445$2.20−$0.07
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang · Juncheng Shang0.5700.000$0.00−$3.72
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · Aleksandar Kovacevic0.4500.000$0.00−$3.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Up0.9770.000$0.00−$15.00
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner · GamerLegion0.6300.000$0.00−$6.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.9900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:11Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.5199999835$3.78
11-01 15:00Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.2799999751$2.70
11-01 13:24Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)SELL0.58$10.96
11-01 13:181win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8$0.60
11-01 13:17Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao HuangBUY0.859999995$10.40
11-01 08:26Flames vs. SharksBUY0.4599999635$2.27
10-31 17:25Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999206$3.49
10-31 16:49Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999859$9.95
10-31 16:47Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999885$9.98
10-31 16:32Dota 2: World Squad vs CIS Squad (BO1) - PARI Universe ShowmatchBUY0.5899999787$4.44
10-30 23:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.015$0.05
10-30 23:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.012$0.04
10-30 23:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?SELL0.022$0.02
10-30 22:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.055$0.06
10-30 22:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.055$0.04