x3rxesss
0x4953fa0294ed03f201891e33645cf3f0318c92e7
- Realised P&L
- $-144.13
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.769 | 0.740 | $962.39 | −$37.61 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.705 | $518.38 | +$18.38 |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes | 0.815 | 0.835 | $512.40 | +$12.41 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No | 0.830 | 0.795 | $478.92 | −$21.08 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.545 | $187.24 | −$12.76 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.835 | $105.70 | +$5.70 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.211 | $6.22 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.53at 0.688Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$1.77at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$-235.43at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:05 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | BUY | 0.3398153566 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0403102275 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8147853735 | $500.00 |
| 09-22 11:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-22 10:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7689197446 | $1000.00 |
| 09-22 10:24 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.5821261608 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $294.30 |
| 09-22 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 09:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6972111554 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 09:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-21 22:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $6.95 |
| 09-21 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |