PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

x3rxesss

0x4953fa0294ed03f201891e33645cf3f0318c92e7

Realised P&L
$-144.13
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7690.740$962.39−$37.61
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.705$518.38+$18.38
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes0.8150.835$512.40+$12.41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8300.795$478.92−$21.08
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5820.545$187.24−$12.76
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.835$105.70+$5.70
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? · Yes0.3400.211$6.22−$3.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:05Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?BUY0.3398153566$10.00
09-23 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.0403102275$25.00
09-23 09:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.2599999997$100.00
09-23 09:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.4899999992$100.00
09-22 12:00Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?BUY0.8147853735$500.00
09-22 11:45Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.8299999999$500.00
09-22 10:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7689197446$1000.00
09-22 10:24Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?BUY0.5821261608$200.00
09-22 09:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSELL0.99$294.30
09-22 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.6499999994$100.00
09-22 09:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.6972111554$100.00
09-22 09:01NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999997$500.00
09-21 22:30NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999968$100.00
09-21 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSELL0.89$6.95
09-21 22:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.64$5.00