PolyBot

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Traders

0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19

0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19

Realised P&L
$-14.46
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
391
Open portfolio
$58.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded391
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$15.58$0.92
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1200.060$5.72$5.76
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1070.065$4.85$3.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1120.072$4.54$2.46
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7640.850$2.22+$0.22
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.4130.866$2.11+$1.10
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8800.971$2.00+$0.19
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.0600.060$2.00+$0.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9550.945$1.98$0.02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9250.915$1.98$0.02
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2800.210$1.50$0.50
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2250.110$1.47$1.53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more? · No0.8600.930$1.08+$0.08
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.7100.735$1.04+$0.04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9300.945$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 10:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-23 09:19Iran leadership change by November 30?SELL0.06$0.75
09-22 23:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-22 22:58Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.08$1.00
09-22 22:53Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-22 13:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.46$0.01
09-22 12:19Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-22 10:49Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?SELL0.83$1.07
09-22 06:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.859999914$1.00
09-21 19:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-21 19:19Iran leadership change by October 31?SELL0.04$0.57
09-17 22:39Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0279999998$1.00
09-17 21:37Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0269999993$1.00
09-17 21:14Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.89$2.02
09-17 16:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more?BUY0.0493193924$1.00