0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19
- Realised P&L
- $32.66
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $88.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.70at 0.104Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$56.34at 0.064Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$33.31at 0.153Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
- +$30.17at 0.361US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$18.92at 0.933US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.626 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.94 |
| 08-04 18:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6089998082 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.91 |
| 08-04 18:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 17:41 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.12 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.36 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.25 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.08 |