PolyBot

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Traders

0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19

Realised P&L
$32.66
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$88.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$20.78$1.22
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1200.105$10.00$1.47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7680.825$9.80+$0.67
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7680.835$7.61+$0.61
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1070.085$6.34$1.66
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1220.117$5.71$0.29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.2020.115$3.02$2.29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.6300.885$2.81+$0.81
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2250.210$2.80$0.20
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7640.780$2.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes0.0330.032$1.91$0.09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.1270.045$1.41$2.59
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2800.190$1.36$0.64
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.6000.735$1.22+$0.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0240.028$1.17+$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.626$1.03
08-04 18:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$0.94
08-04 18:12US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6089998082$1.00
08-04 18:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.17$0.91
08-04 18:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.02
08-04 18:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.00
08-04 18:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.01
08-04 17:41Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6$1.00
08-04 16:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.045$0.98
08-04 16:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.17$0.12
08-04 15:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.36
08-04 14:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.18$0.01
08-04 14:02Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
08-04 13:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.051$0.25
08-04 13:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.05$0.08