0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19
0x48ea80c659a01a381b85809a3fd4a8c50c74cb19
- Realised P&L
- $-14.46
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $58.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.91at 0.108Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$55.64at 0.067Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$33.10at 0.158Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
- +$29.19at 0.364US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$17.67at 0.943US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:19 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.75 |
| 09-22 23:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:58 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:53 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.01 |
| 09-22 12:19 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:49 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 06:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:19 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.57 |
| 09-17 22:39 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:37 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:14 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.02 |
| 09-17 16:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.0493193924 | $1.00 |