0x48Ea11be735A4BA117481Af42F3dEF457BF1287A-1781185464432
0x48ea11be735a4ba117481af42f3def457bf1287a
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $39.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.221 | $25.88 | +$19.84 |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.082 | $13.17 | +$0.92 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.13 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.00 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 50 bps or more at the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.240Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$254.89at 0.400Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$252.49at 0.370Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 13:11 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.17 |
| 07-23 13:11 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $2.87 |
| 07-23 12:51 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $0.68 |
| 07-23 12:51 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $7.05 |
| 07-19 17:48 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $450.96 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3699999986 | $100.89 |
| 07-17 09:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $107.60 |
| 07-17 09:32 | Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3699999954 | $47.40 |
| 07-17 09:28 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $75.00 |
| 07-17 09:28 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $75.00 |
| 07-17 09:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $209.61 |
| 07-17 08:50 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $46.07 |
| 07-16 06:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-16 06:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $311.25 |
| 06-18 06:48 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |