0x48Ea11be735A4BA117481Af42F3dEF457BF1287A-1781185464432
0x48ea11be735a4ba117481af42f3def457bf1287a
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $34.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $204.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.246Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$247.82at 0.382Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$247.21at 0.412Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.78at 0.082Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:58 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.36 |
| 09-16 14:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $108.00 |
| 08-20 10:49 | Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | BUY | 0.3597953444 | $1000.00 |
| 08-07 12:45 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 08-07 12:44 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.0835824875 | $11.03 |
| 07-23 13:11 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.17 |
| 07-23 13:11 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $2.87 |
| 07-23 12:51 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $0.68 |
| 07-23 12:51 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $7.05 |
| 07-19 17:48 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $450.96 |
| 07-17 09:38 | Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3699999986 | $100.89 |
| 07-17 09:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $107.60 |
| 07-17 09:32 | Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3699999954 | $47.40 |
| 07-17 09:28 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $75.00 |
| 07-17 09:28 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $75.00 |