0x48837f26271914d964af5de509778d9a6ba4bdc8
0x48837f26271914d964af5de509778d9a6ba4bdc8
- Realised P&L
- $18.70
- Volume
- $417.26
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $9.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.81at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$7.35at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.73at 0.472Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:57 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:57 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:57 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:55 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:48 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:41 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2539999919 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:28 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:16 | Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:15 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:15 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 19:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |