PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Innocent-Fixture-Disclaimer

0x472e2b8750d568e99f593bc05b9786e6f3ee0fd7

Realised P&L
$0.69
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$9.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:44Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.09$1.13
10-09 21:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
10-09 21:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-07 18:10Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-07 18:07Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-07 18:04Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.062992126$5.00
10-07 17:50Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.00
10-07 17:49Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-07 17:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
10-07 17:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BUY0.1139999977$1.00
10-05 13:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?BUY0.0039800995$1.00
10-05 11:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?BUY0.005$1.00
10-05 11:13Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.08$1.00
10-05 10:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 5?SELL0.999$2.38
10-05 01:54Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999992$1.00