FatPika
0x464fd0572bb9a33fa11c9bbd4661652bd6088947
- Realised P&L
- $-66.64
- Volume
- $38.2k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $87.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.20at 0.005Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$87.79at 0.360Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$50.98at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.45at 0.212Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$19.65at 0.351Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 19:18 | Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.111999968 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 05:09 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0741399763 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 13:34 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 11:06 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0101864087 | $4.32 |
| 06-30 23:27 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0329999937 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 22:12 | Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 02:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 01:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |