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Traders

FatPika

0x464fd0572bb9a33fa11c9bbd4661652bd6088947

Realised P&L
$-82.54
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$54.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2770.185$10.03−$4.97
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1740.175$10.03+$0.03
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0660.041$6.20−$3.80
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0570.021$6.15−$10.85
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$5.70−$14.30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7800.839$5.37+$0.37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1480.098$3.31−$1.69
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.003$3.00−$7.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0330.013$1.89−$3.11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$0.92−$4.08
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$0.80−$4.20
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3800.090$0.71−$2.29
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1120.025$0.67−$2.33
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$22.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 02:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?SELL0.002$0.29
08-24 02:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?SELL0.002$0.20
08-24 02:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?SELL0.004$0.36
08-24 02:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?SELL0.006$0.14
08-24 02:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?SELL0.008$0.11
08-24 02:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?SELL0.04$0.22
08-24 02:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?SELL0.38$0.92
08-14 09:229.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.0597371565$5.00
08-14 09:15Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.7799998596$5.00
08-14 09:13Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUY0.0109999892$1.00