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Traders

FatPika

0x464fd0572bb9a33fa11c9bbd4661652bd6088947

Realised P&L
$-66.64
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$87.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2770.205$11.12$3.88
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$11.00$9.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0570.035$10.62$6.38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1740.175$10.03+$0.03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0500.021$9.20$12.80
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.006$6.50$3.50
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0740.068$4.59$0.41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1480.135$4.54$0.46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$4.17$0.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0330.025$3.71$1.29
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$2.95$2.05
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1120.091$2.45$0.55
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3800.220$1.74$1.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? · Yes0.0110.009$0.77$0.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.4100.315$0.77$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
08-03 22:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
08-03 22:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.01$1.00
08-03 22:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
07-30 19:18Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.111999968$3.00
07-30 05:099.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.0741399763$5.00
07-29 13:34Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.2799999854$10.00
07-13 11:06Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.0101864087$4.32
06-30 23:27Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?BUY0.0329999937$5.00
06-28 22:12Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.032$2.00
06-26 02:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.05$5.00
06-24 01:21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$5.00