FatPika
0x464fd0572bb9a33fa11c9bbd4661652bd6088947
- Realised P&L
- $-82.54
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $54.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.20at 0.005Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$86.84at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$50.72at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.33at 0.216Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$19.16at 0.357Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.29 |
| 08-24 02:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-24 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.36 |
| 08-24 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.14 |
| 08-24 02:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.11 |
| 08-24 02:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.22 |
| 08-24 02:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.92 |
| 08-14 09:22 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0597371565 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 09:15 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 09:13 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |