0x461eE42167F246504E5057264658b562dd4Dec51-1769847066562
0x461ee42167f246504e5057264658b562dd4dec51
- Realised P&L
- $192.85
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $403.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.77at 0.272Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$64.78at 0.525Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$60.47at 0.158Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$59.14at 0.078Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$40.93at 0.344Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.138 | $2.84 |
| 08-27 20:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 08-27 20:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7029999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 20:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 13:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7709999416 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 13:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 13:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 13:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 17:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 17:32 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 17:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.26 |
| 08-13 17:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $9.22 |
| 08-12 21:38 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.73 |
| 08-12 21:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8949998935 | $8.36 |