PolyBot

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Traders

0x461eE42167F246504E5057264658b562dd4Dec51-1769847066562

0x461ee42167f246504e5057264658b562dd4dec51

Realised P&L
$192.85
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
382
Open portfolio
$403.09

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded382
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8420.895$52.99+$3.12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8580.870$52.12+$0.70
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9000.975$32.48+$2.48
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama · Nothing0.8570.935$27.29+$2.29
Another Elon baby by December 31? · No0.8340.890$25.61+$1.61
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7580.951$25.08+$5.08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.8500.945$22.24+$2.24
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8200.845$20.61+$0.61
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.8200.945$17.29+$2.29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.7700.805$15.68+$0.68
Elon Bull Run Combo · No0.8900.945$12.73+$0.73
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7470.600$12.05$2.95
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8100.961$11.86+$1.86
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.8360.955$11.43+$1.43
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? · Yes0.3990.780$9.78+$4.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 07:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.138$2.84
08-27 20:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999844$4.00
08-27 20:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7029999692$5.00
08-27 20:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
08-17 13:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7709999416$10.00
08-17 13:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999014$2.00
08-17 13:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-17 13:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
08-14 06:16Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-13 17:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-13 17:32Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
08-13 17:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.53$10.26
08-13 17:21Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.987$9.22
08-12 21:38Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.1$0.73
08-12 21:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.8949998935$8.36