PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.71. up 0.45 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.27 to 0.84. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.942121
0.971839
0.983474
0.9971145

Spread0.45Mid0.71

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.492020
0.08727
0.06532
0.04250282
0.03417698
0.026341,333
0.011,3902,723

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.512020
0.92727
0.94532
0.96250282
0.97417698
0.986341,333
0.991,3902,723

Spread0.45Mid0.29

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.062121
0.031839
0.023474
0.0171145

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smellyEllieYes40
GuyFromTinderYes20
0xf9B5e9803Ea977b7111c9B7728aC6eA97f361212-1765800007149Yes2
ZhouCDNo20
0xd0d1…41c2No20
FlingflongerNo20
WartlockNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:30:12SELLYes0.612$1.22
08:10:11BUYYes0.6120$12.20
14:08:26BUYYes0.4820$9.60
11:33:09SELLNo0.265$1.30
11:20:53SELLNo0.2612540$10.45
11:09:54BUYNo0.2740$10.80
09:39:06SELLYes0.7320$14.60
16:19:26SELLYes0.7420$14.80
15:11:08BUYYes0.520$10.00
15:11:02BUYYes0.2620$5.20