PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

schneider

0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0

Realised P&L
$863.13
Volume
$637.9k
Markets traded
1,127
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,127
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6960.815$2.3k+$333.19
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9580.982$1.5k+$35.05
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9870.998$798.00+$8.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · No0.9730.997$797.20+$19.20
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8000.915$765.80+$95.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No0.9700.993$595.50+$13.50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9170.979$587.10+$36.60
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No0.9660.984$393.60+$7.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5700.555$389.47$10.53
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9200.993$347.37+$25.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9930.991$297.15$0.75
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No0.9600.990$297.00+$9.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? · No0.9550.988$296.24+$9.75
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? · No0.9430.970$290.84+$8.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.9150.949$246.61+$8.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:57Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.74$222.00
09-18 20:24Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.48$48.00
09-18 20:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$297.90
09-18 16:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.57$400.00
09-18 16:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$235.54
09-18 16:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.993$706.11
09-17 19:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.981$98.10
09-16 18:58Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.8$64.00
09-16 17:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$64.00
09-16 10:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$88.00
09-15 23:28Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.78$23.40
09-15 20:19Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.85$85.00
09-15 20:18Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.922$46.10
09-15 20:16Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.92$16.12
09-15 15:52Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.982$98.20