schneider
0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0
- Realised P&L
- $863.13
- Volume
- $637.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,127
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,127
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.61at 0.862Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$390.78at 0.871No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$359.96at 0.833No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$290.21at 0.684US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$275.78at 0.921Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:57 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.74 | $222.00 |
| 09-18 20:24 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-18 20:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $297.90 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $400.00 |
| 09-18 16:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $235.54 |
| 09-18 16:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $706.11 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.981 | $98.10 |
| 09-16 18:58 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $64.00 |
| 09-16 17:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-16 10:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-15 23:28 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 09-15 20:19 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-15 20:18 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.922 | $46.10 |
| 09-15 20:16 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $16.12 |
| 09-15 15:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |