schneider
0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $594.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,012
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,012
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.61at 0.862Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$390.77at 0.871No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$359.96at 0.833No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$290.21at 0.684US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$275.78at 0.921Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:25 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? | BUY | 0.962 | $96.20 |
| 08-05 02:23 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 08-05 02:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9716666667 | $291.50 |
| 08-05 02:09 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.906 | $90.60 |
| 08-05 02:08 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-05 02:08 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 08-05 02:06 | Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | BUY | 0.791 | $27.76 |
| 08-05 01:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 08-05 01:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? | BUY | 0.95 | $80.38 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.7175376667 | $21.53 |
| 08-04 14:23 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.4170816945 | $48.14 |
| 08-04 14:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $15.33 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $75.56 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.3108911505 | $28.56 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.346 | $17.30 |