PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WALLYFIGHTS

0x445e88628a68c596c857085eb26f6379a1f49be0

Realised P&L
$-93.3k
Volume
$7.90M
Markets traded
1,790
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,790
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7960.835$3.6k+$165.68
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.981$2.9k+$1.4k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.953$2.9k+$1.4k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5590.918$2.8k+$1.1k
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8520.925$2.7k+$212.53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2180.162$2.2k$788.05
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.986$2.2k+$1.1k
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.9120.898$2.0k$30.86
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8650.895$1.7k+$57.47
Kent State vs. Ohio State · Ohio State0.9970.999$1.3k+$2.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.966$1.2k+$558.60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.870$1.0k+$443.40
Dolphins vs. 49ers · 49ers0.8800.895$923.32+$15.47
Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) · Miami (FL)0.5170.505$785.99$18.35
Spread: SF (-12.5) · SF0.5030.495$742.50$12.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 22:06Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.028$46.30
09-12 14:04Spread: Florida (-1.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-12 14:02Spread: Florida (-0.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-12 13:24Spread: SMU (-3.5)BUY0.94$230.30
09-12 03:17Spread: Notre Dame (-2.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-12 03:17Spread: Notre Dame (-1.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-12 03:16Spread: Notre Dame (-0.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-11 23:54Spread: James Madison (-4.5)BUY0.99$9.90
09-11 23:48Spread: Georgia (-2.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-11 23:48Spread: Georgia (-1.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-11 23:47Spread: Georgia (-0.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-11 23:46Spread: Georgia (-0.5)BUY0.97$150.33
09-11 23:45Spread: Georgia (-0.5)BUY0.98$4.90
09-11 23:43Spread: James Madison (-2.5)BUY0.99$17.82
09-11 23:42Spread: James Madison (-1.5)BUY0.99$9.90