0x441698a004d04eccde0bc48fa3a3185244c2a6a6
0x441698a004d04eccde0bc48fa3a3185244c2a6a6
- Realised P&L
- $-924.03
- Volume
- $69.3k
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $42.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.44at 0.180Will South Africa vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?
- +$23.09at 0.990Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$21.03at 0.201Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$15.83at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$14.23at 0.423XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:09 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.93 |
| 10-16 07:59 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 06:45 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 06:42 | Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? | BUY | 0.6799999855 | $3.75 |
| 10-16 06:21 | Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.55 |
| 10-16 03:58 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.44 |
| 10-15 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5999999662 | $3.55 |
| 10-15 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $4.45 |
| 10-15 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.25 |
| 10-14 16:35 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 13:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999642 | $2.90 |
| 10-14 10:09 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.19 |
| 10-14 09:11 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999891 | $4.25 |
| 10-14 03:45 | Solana Up or Down - October 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999438 | $3.30 |
| 10-10 09:27 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999868 | $1.45 |