NiftySea
0x438731e710e0c0117e21a72dc2011a3904422b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $294.3k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.583Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones
- +$716.41at 0.559Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$486.37at 0.721Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers
- +$422.69at 0.389MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$391.64at 0.437Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 00:22 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.28 | $12.95 |
| 09-11 00:21 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 07-06 02:02 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 06-11 02:10 | Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | BUY | 0.29 | $17.40 |
| 06-11 01:22 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.438 | $2.19 |
| 06-11 01:17 | Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.76 |
| 06-11 01:04 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |
| 06-08 05:53 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 06-04 00:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $200.00 |
| 06-04 00:16 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $200.00 |
| 06-04 00:11 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $42.00 |
| 06-04 00:06 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $75.00 |
| 06-04 00:04 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 05-19 03:28 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.917 | $159.70 |
| 05-10 03:08 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.274 | $54.80 |